I stayed up very late Sunday night to watch the Oscars, and I had a very good time to be honest. The ceremony was pretty tight and clean, it didn’t drag too much and Jimmy Kimmel wasn’t as bad a host as he has been in previous years, though I do think it’s time for someone else to host. As I guessed, there weren’t many surprises but there were some, and I have a lot of thoughts about how it all went down.
So as I have now finally caught up with my sleep here they are…
Best Picture
My Prediction: Oppenheimer
Winner: Oppenheimer
I think I’ve exhausted all I have to say about Oppenheimer at this point after talking about it for so long. Obviously, it’s not what I would have chosen to win, but it is deserving; it’s a very good film.
I think when it comes to Best Picture, the film that wins should really be representative of the year, whether that be the tastes of the audience, what’s going on in the world or the direction the industry went in.
2023 really was the year of Barbenheimer. The success of those two movies really showed audiences were more engaged in new original ideas and properties, and starting to get bored of the standard blockbuster franchise fair (It was a very bad year for superhero movies). That’s something the industry is clearly very pleased about. So those are the two movies that were in real contention to sum up the year as the ‘best picture’.
In fairness I think it strikes a nice balance that Barbie won the commercial side of things with the box office, and Oppenheimer the critical side, with awards. In that way, I see it as a partnership and a de facto tie.
Best Director
My Prediction: Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer
Winner: Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer
As I said in my predictions, this is Nolan’s time, he’s been wanting it for a while (he got very close with Dunkirk) and this is finally his moment.
I think when you look back on Directors like Hitchcock, who had incredible commercial and critical success, yet never won a competitive Oscar, there’s almost this sense of duty among people to make sure that legends get recognized in their lifetime, whether that be in this category or another.
I think it’s safe to call Nolan a legend of the industry at this point, or at least a rising one. He’s a well known name with general audiences, with his own recognizable style and point of view. Every time he realises a film it becomes one of the most talked about of the year, for better or worse. It always felt like he was going to win an Oscar one day and that day finally came.
Side note, speaking of iconic directors, Wes Anderson also won his first ever Oscar this year, for his short film. Though he didn’t show up to collect it. so, they really killed two birds with one stone.
Best Actor
My Prediction: Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer
Winner: Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer
Given that Oppenheimer was the big winner of the night, it would have been strange for the lead (and titular character) to not go along with it. A similar principle to Michelle Yeoh winning last year. The person who stars in and carries the weight of the best picture of the year is a large factor in what makes it a success, and that is so true for Murphy. I think the only thing he really had going against him was that it was his first nomination, and he was up against 2 people with nomination history, but that very rarely actually matters if the performance is good enough to eclipse a legacy actor.
I think there’s hope for Paul Giamatti if he ever gets another nomination both here or in supporting, that he could win a career Oscar, obviously depending on who else he’s up against. But people love him so much, and that did push him very close this time around.
I don’t know if it’s ever going to happen for Bradley Cooper at this point. This is his 5th acting nomination (he has 12 overall including writing and producing) with no wins, and the public opinion has really turned on him. People don’t like he seriously he takes himself and how badly he obviously wants to win. Whether you think it’s fair or not, likability does play into these things, and I think he needs to work on his image if he wants a win, which we know he does.
Best Actress
My Prediction: Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
Winner: Emma Stone – Poor Things
This really was the biggest surprise of the night for me. Even though I knew there was a strong chance that Emma Stone was taking it, I had really convinced myself it was going to be Lily Gladstone. But it goes to show you that every season is different and you can’t always predict things just based on what happened last year. In my heart of hearts, I wanted it to go to Lily. I adored her movie and her performance in it, and you could just tell how much it meant to her to be not just nominated but represented. My heart broke for her every time they showed her during the acceptance speech.
However, I don’t want to take away from Emma Stone’s win because it was 100% deserved, and I feel like some people are going to try and claim some kind of injustice. Her performance as Bella Baxter was the performance of her career. You can tell how much she put into it, and how important it was to her. She carries the entire movie, she is the heart and soul of it and it really is her vehicle. I think at the end of the day both performances were great and Stone just had the meatier role in a film that the Academy obviously liked better. She’s also just a great actress in general and a very likeable person, which does not hurt.
It would have been historic to see Gladstone win, but she has such momentum from this awards season we will definitely be seeing her in the awards conversation again.
Best Supporting Actor
My Prediction: Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer
Winner: Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer
![96th Academy Awards - Oscars Show - Hollywood](https://jeremyhgreer.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/oscar-downey-1.jpg?w=299&h=215)
Pretty much every year there is at least one Actor who is awarded not just for their performance but their career as a whole. Last year it was Jamie Lee Curtis and this year it was Robert Downey Jr.’s turn. Now I know some people claim they didn’t know it was him and he transformed, but I don’t see that at all. Every time he was on screen I was very aware that it was Robert Downey Jr. It felt very much like a variation of the kind of performance he always does, but he does it well.
I’ve said it before, he’s an actor who’s been through a lot. He had success early on, then he had drug and legal issues, struggles with money and then he spent 10 years with Marvel and became this household name and global megastar. Some people wanted him to get nominated for Avengers: Endgame, but I think we know they would never do that, despite him being incredible in that film. This was the performance that really fit within the Oscars wheelhouse and allowed them to reward him. Whether you think it’s fair or not, they took the opportunity to reward someone who has done a lot for the industry and deserves his flowers and a spot in the Hall of fame for that.
If I’m being honest I think this was a pretty weak category. None of the performances were particularly awe-inspiring to me. Ryan Gosling was really fun as Ken, I would have given him the Golden Globe, but I don’t think it’s an Oscars performance. If you ask me who the best in the category was I would say it was De Niro for Killers of the Flower Moon, but the man has two Oscars and is constantly nominated, so he doesn’t need it. I honestly would have given it to Charles Melton, but alas they didn’t even nominate him.
Best Supporting Actress
My Prediction: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers
Winner: Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers
Now this is the complete other side of the coin, going from a huge star getting celebrated for their body of work to a relative unknown getting their first big praise. Randolph up until this point has mostly done smaller supporting roles, television and Broadway (she does have a Tony nomination from 2012). So she’s not extremely well known to a lot of people outside of the industry, or they at least wouldn’t realise if they recognized her from something they’d seen. I first saw her in Only Murders in the Building as the detective, where I loved her, but it took a minute for me to put two and two together and realise this was the same actress.
So, to go from being a working actor to being an Academy Award winner is huge, and it doesn’t happen for a lot of people. You can tell how much it meant to her to be recognized in this way. And this was also a strong group of women to win over. Emily Blunt is a huge star who could have easily won on name recognition alone and the fact that she was in the Best Picture winner. Had The Color Purple been better received, I think Danielle Brooks could easily have been a strong rival. I was happy to see Jodie Forster nominated because the Academy have ignored her since the 90’s for some reason; she has two Oscars already and her film wasn’t as strong so it’s not surprising she lost, but it’s still a big deal for Randolph to beat her.
I just hope that her career is going to blossom from this moment. It sounds crazy to say, but the unfortunate reality is that it is often hard for women of colour to get much work even after winning an Oscar, it’s something Lupita Nyong’o has spoken about at length. I hope that she has the right people on her team getting her work. I’d love to see her doing more comedy, I’d love to see her in a leading role. If you haven’t seen The Holdovers, I’d recommend you put it on when Christmas comes around, cos you will fall in love with her.
Best Original Screenplay
My Prediction: Anatomy of a Fall
Winner: Anatomy of a Fall
I knew it was going to happen but I’m still extremely happy. ‘Academy Award winning picture Anatomy of a Fall’ sounds correct.
The screenplay categories are often used as a kind of pseudo–Best Director consolation prize. A lot of Directors also wrote the film so if they have no shot at winning Director (Justine Triet was never beating Nolan) this is a way for the Academy to reward a director they liked with this award instead. There’s a whole bunch of famous directors who have only ever won in the writing categories, Sofia Coppola, Spike Lee and Quentin Tarantino for example, So Triet is in excellent company.
I would also have been happy to see Past Lives win here, but it’s Celine Song’s first ever movie, so I think the nomination is the achievement in itself. Also, I’ve seen many people state that as it’s based on her life, they don’t think it was as much of a challenge for her, and they’d like to see her write something wholly original. I see that to a point that, but anyone can write about themselves, it doesn’t mean the writing itself is going to be good. It was an excellent script. She’s working on another film right now, so I guess we’ll see if she can make lightning strike twice.
Best Adapted Screenplay
My Prediction: American Fiction
Winner: American Fiction
So, on the point I made in the last category, the reason I think most people thought Barbie was going to win the screenplay was that Greta Gerwig wrote and directed. If you want to acknowledge the work she did on this movie, give her the screenplay award. But as soon as she wasn’t nominated in Director, the writing (no pun intended) was on the wall. Now the plot thickens when you realise Cord Jefferson was in the same boat, a writer-director not nominated for directing, and it’s his first movie. So how did he beat Gerwig?
It’s such a tough one for me because I loved American Fiction and I was happy to see it win. Jefferson also gave a great speech about giving lots of people the opportunity to make moves, and instead of spending millions on one film we should be spending less money on a bunch of other smaller films. But does he need to win on his first try, when Gerwig has been trying for years and achieved some an important milestone for female filmmakers this year?
Given that she’s been passed over for director on her last 2 movies, and her movies overall have only one for costume and song, there’s a sense that the academy for whatever reason just don’t care for her or her filmmaking. But at the end of the day, I don’t want this perceived dismissal, to diminish this win for American Fiction, because Barbie and Gerwig can at least rest high on top of their own commercial success and we can instead celebrate a film that isn’t going to walk away empty-handed.
Best Animated Feature
My Prediction: Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse
Winner: The Boy and the Heron
That’s my second one wrong and I’m not mad about it because it’s who I wanted to win anyway.
Don’t get me wrong I loved Spider Verse, it was an immensely enjoyable film. My personal experience of the film was somewhat jaded by the fact I was put at the back of a really tiny room with an even smaller screen to watch it because some rich people had hired out the big screen for a birthday party. But the reason I didn’t really want it to win was that, as I’ve said it felt like part 1 of a wider story and part 2 is going to be even better, and the simple fact that the first Spider Verse already won. Even though this movie expanded upon the groundwork, the reasons people were praising this movie were the reasons the first one won; the visuals, the story and characters. So, to me, it would have just felt like awarding the same thing twice.
I have such a reverence and love for Studio Ghibli, as many people who love animation do, and there have been so many times that they have been nominated for amazing work but have been passed over just because Disney was the easy choice. So, this year really felt like the perfect storm for them. They haven’t won since 2002, with 6 nominations in between, Miyazaki came out of retirement specifically to make this film, and Disney has had a really bad year. So whether you think The Boy and the Heron is their best work since Spirited Away or not, it’s clear that it was time for this legendary Studio to be recognised once again.
It would have been nice for them to show up to collect it, but I’m sure they had their reasons. There was a nice little video of them reacting over in Japan instead.
Best International Feature
My Prediction: The Zone of Interest
Winner: The Zone of Interest
A surprise to no one once again, but a welcome winner. If you haven’t seen The Zone of Interest yet I would highly recommend it, though it is a very tough film to watch. I was left feeling quite hollow for the rest of the evening after watching it. But that’s the power of a good film. It’s one of the most fascinating pieces of filmmaking I’ve seen in a while.
I want to mention, because I don’t have a section on it, that this film also won Best Sound. A lot of people expected Oppenheimer to take that as it has the big boom of the atomic bomb and it’s the flashier choice. Giving the sound award to this film was the most inspired win of the night, because the sound design was the most vital part of the movie. When you’re watching the characters going about their lives, often being pretty mundane, you have the constant sounds of Auschwitz in the background, but you never ever see any of these atrocities. That’s the reason the film is so powerful, as it represents the dissonance that people have between knowing a terrible thing is happening and choosing not to acknowledge it.
Best Costume Design
My Prediction: Poor Things
Winner: Poor Things
I’m very happy with this win. As much as I loved the costumes in Barbie, as I said in my predictions, I was more impressed and excited by Holly Waddington’s costuming in Poor Things. It was really great to see her get up on that stage and accept her first Oscar. I adored her costumes for this movie so I’m very excited to see what her next project is going to be, no doubt she will be in high demand after this.
Best Production Design
My Prediction: Barbie
Winner: Poor Things
This one genuinely upsets me. Yes, the sets and design of Poor Things were amazing and it’s not undeserved, but the film also won costume and makeup, it didn’t need this too. Barbie had the most amazing commitment to production design I’ve ever seen in a film and I just think it came down to the academy not liking the movie enough, which just seems unfair to me. They could easily have shared the love, but they chose to give all the design awards to one movie instead.
Whatever, I still wanna be living in Barbieland.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
My Prediction: Maestro
Winner: Poor Things
I need to eat my words because for once they didn’t give this award to the most makeup but to the more creative use of makeup. I do think this was likely just a case of them not liking Maestro as much as Poor Things, but it was the more inspired choice at the end of the day.
I do feel kind of bad for Maestro though, as I think in another year it would have had this award in the bag and instead the whole film leaves with nothing. I think the internet collectively turning on the film probably didn’t help its chances which is sad, because I don’t understand why people hated it so much. It was Oscar bait sure, but it wasn’t a bad film. It felt like it became popular to hate it so it just became a punching bag, but hey that’s the internet sometimes. And now all those people get to relish in Bradley Cooper’s tears.
Best Original Score
My Prediction: Oppenheimer
Winner: Oppenheimer
I don’t have much to say about this that I didn’t already say. It’s not a score that particularly stuck with me after I saw the film unlike the scores to Poor Things or Killers of the Flower Moon, but I’m not a musically knowledgeable person so I can’t speak well on what is good composition only what makes me feel the best.
This is Ludwig Göransson’s second Oscar and third nomination in 5 years, and I feel like he’s been everywhere since he scored Black Panther. He’s definitely paving his way as an icon in this industry which is really cool to see happen in real time. I feel like we’ll be seeing him in the Oscars conversation again very soon.
Best Original Song
My Prediction: What Was I Made For? – Barbie
Winner: What Was I Made For? – Barbie
If you had told me a few months ago that Barbie was only going to win 1 Oscar I would have told you to shut up, yet here we are. I guess it should be glad that it could win this but it was only in competition with itself anyway so it was practically handed to it.
But disappointment aside, I’m very glad ‘What Was I Made For?’ won over ‘I’m Just Ken’. The latter is a fun song, and the performance of it on the night was actually phenomenally enjoyable (I expected it to be really cringe), but ‘What Was I Made For?’ is just beautiful. And although it’s a slow balled representing a very upbeat cheesy movie, it really does capture the heart of what the story is all about. You can tell how proud Greta Gerwig and Margot Robbie were when they saw Fineas and Billie up there accepting the win, they really loved this song too.
Billie Eilish is now the youngest person ever to win a second Oscar, at 22 years old, and you know what, I have a feeling she’s not done yet.
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So, that’s the Oscars over for another year. I like how most of the Best Picture winners did walk away with at least one award this time, unlike last year when half of them went home empty handed. But let’s still pour one out for Maestro, Past Lives and Killers of the Flower Moon, the unfortunate goose eggs of this year.
This awards season has felt particularly long for some reason, so I’m kind of relieved it’s done with, but I still had a good time with it overall.
I really am going to miss talking about a lot of these films but I’m very excited to start a whole new year of speculation for next year’s awards!